International Space Station to crash down to Earth in 2031

International Space Station seen from space

The International Space Station (ISS) will continue working until 2030, before plunging into the Pacific Ocean in early 2031, according to Nasa.

In a report this week, the US space agency said the ISS would crash into a part of the ocean known as Point Nemo. This is the point furthest from land on planet Earth, also known as the spacecraft cemetery.

Many old satellites and other space debris have crashed there, including the Russian space station Mir in 2001. Nasa said that in the future space activities close to Earth would be led by the commercial sector.

The ISS – a joint project involving five space agencies – has been in orbit since 1998 and has been continuously crewed since 2000. More than 3,000 research investigations have taken place in its microgravity laboratory.

However, it is only approved to operate until 2024 and any extension must be agreed by all partners. Nasa said the plan to retire the ISS marked a transition to the commercial sector for activities in low-Earth orbit – the area of space close to Earth.

“The private sector is technically and financially capable of developing and operating commercial low-Earth orbit destinations, with Nasa’s assistance,” said Phil McAlister, director of commercial space at Nasa Headquarters.

In 2020, Nasa awarded a contract to Texas-based company Axiom Space to build at least one habitable module to be attached to the ISS. It has also provided funding to to three companies to develop designs for space stations and other commercial destinations in orbit.

It is hoped that these new projects will be in at least partial operation before the ISS is retired.

Nasa said it wanted to create a “robust, American-led commercial economy in low-Earth orbit”. The commercial sector is already an important part of the US space programme, with private companies responsible for delivering crew and cargo. Russia’s Soyuz and Progress spacecraft are also used.

A SpaceX cargo spacecraft docking with the ISS

According to Nasa, it will save $1.3bn (£956m) by transitioning to the private sector for activities in low-Earth orbit, money which instead can be spent on deep-space exploration.

The savings are anticipated because Nasa will only be paying for the services it needs, rather than for the maintenance and operations of the ISS. Nasa also points out that the private sector space stations will be newer and should require fewer spare parts.

Nasa said it had analyzed its ISS budget on an annual basis and that it would continue to refine its savings estimates. The transition report published by Nasa this week comes after the administration of US President Joe Biden said it had committed to extend the space station’s activities until 2030.

However, the extension still requires the support of international partners, including Russia, and funding for the ISS is currently only approved by US Congress until 2024.

In an interview with the Russian news agency Interfax in December 2021, the head of Russia’s space programme, Dmitry Rogozin, indicated a willingness to work with Nasa beyond 2024.

“Actions speak louder than words,” he said. “This year we sent a new Nauka module to the ISS, which is expected to last at least 10 years.”

The head of Roscosmos also complained that US sanctions on Russia were hurting the Russian space industry, and he has previously said Russia could end its participation in the ISS programme if the sanctions are not lifted.

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